NASHVILLE, Tenn. -- Believe me, I am surprised as you are.

And I've got no history of picking anything right with any consistency.

But on Thursday's edition of The Midday180 it was time for us to lay out how we expected the NFL season to play out.

My NFL playoff field, which I do not feel the least bit good about:

AFC: KC, TEN, PIT, BUF, BAL, IND, HOU
NFC: NO, DAL, SF, MIN, TB, SEA, GB

Super Bowl: NO over TEN

Don't think Chiefs can repeat. Tough for the "you're so negative" crowd. #Titans

— Paul Kuharsky (@PaulKuharskyNFL) September 10, 2020

NASHVILLE, Tenn. -- In matters of advanced statistics, I know I am way over my head, so I turn to people far smarter than I am.

Because I know with regard to some of the things the Titans did a year ago, it’s just not going to be possible for them to do them again or to repeat them.

For example, the Titans converted first downs on 45 of 111 plays (40.5 percent) in the red zone last season, best in NFL per Inside Edge. That was nearly 20 percent better than the worst team, Jacksonville. And it was nearly 10 percent better than the league average of 30.6 percent.

“That definitely tends to regress year to year,” said Aaron Schatz, the head of Football Outsiders.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. – The first NFL player Jadeveon Clowney made look bad might just have been Kelcy Quarles, who was most recently on the roster of the Edmonton Eskimos but has been with the Giants, Patriots, Colts and Browns.

As a junior in 2013, the defensive lineman was Second Team All-America and First Team All-SEC at South Carolina. But at his pro day in the spring of 2014, he had the misfortune of following Clowney in drills.

(Photo courtesy Seattle Seahawks.)

Titans defensive line coach Jim Washburn ran that session. One of the drills linemen ran under his watch entailed a line of flat, Agile pads.

Players stood flat-footed with the long, narrow pads lined up in front of them, and Washburn asked them to explode forward, over the pads, landing flat-footed, maintaining balance. Then they were to run full speed ahead, leaning first to the right to pick up a racquetball, then to the left to get a second one. (See napkin drawing below.)

NASHVILLE, Tenn. – It’s time.

Are the 2020 Titans better top to bottom than last year’s version? We can’t say for sure.

A lot of roster movement was about replenishment more than improvement.

But Jadeveon Clowney was the big piece, expected to complete the team, a defensive disruptor.

With him on the roster, tacking on the ever-present caveat about injuries, there is no excuse for the Titans not to surpass the 9-7 record of the last four years and capture the AFC South crown.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. – In two years as Titans coach, Mike Vrabel has shown himself to be a very good teacher and tactician, a relationship-builder with rapport with everybody.

He’s certainly a motivator, but on a team where Vrabel and Jon Robinson have sought to bring in guys who love football and put the team first, he’s got two high-ranking players who may be challenges on his plate now.

In Jadeveon Clowney and Vic Beasley, two players with great physical gifts at the Titans’ big position of need, Vrabel will have to do his best work in bringing out their best football.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. – Because he’s been so flakey, Titans fans may want to hold off on the full celebration until they see a picture of him on the practice field.

But as of right now, Jadeveon Clowney has told the Titans he’s coming to join them in Nashville. He's not here yet and he's not yet signed the deal he's agreed to and still has to pass a physical.

That confirms Dianna Russini's Twitter report. Yes, I'm also aware of what Josina Anderson's said Clowney has said. (Check back for further developments.)

Provided he follows through on that and signs his deal, Clowney needs to produce on a defensive front that is in need of edge-setting run defense and the sort of influential quarterback disruption that may not produce sacks for Clowney but bolsters the team’s overall, too-often insufficient rush.

(Photo courtesy Seattle Seahawks.)

Earlier Saturday the Titans kept only four outside linebackers at the roster cutdown deadline.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. – A run-through of the first version of the Titans’ 53-man roster, which they can begin adjusting on Sunday when they will also put together a 16-man practice squad than can include six veterans.

Quarterback (2): Ryan Tannehill, Logan Woodside.

I didn’t think they’d keep three as the risk of losing Siemian from a practice squad spot isn’t something to fear that much. He’s simply not been very good since his arrival and they’ll be a comparable alternative out there, as sad a statement as that is. Also he’ll probably wind up on a practice squad somewhere and if the Titans wind up in need they can sign him from there, though the timing for getting him on the field in an emergency situation is a quation this season.

(Cody Hollister photo: George Walker, Tennessean via pool.)

Running back (3): Derrick Henry, Darrynton Evans, Khari Blasingame.

Evans’ injury is clearly nothing they are fearing has an impact on Denver availability. Blasingame was really impressive as a runner and pass-catcher, so an as in-game option he is insurance. Jeremy McNichols will be on the practice squad barring a waiver claim and they’ll have some security there.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. – Jadeveon Clowney’s fate is still very much up in the air. We don’t know when he fired Bus Cook as he agent and when the clock started on a five-day waiting period before he can hire a replacement, reportedly Kennard McGuire.

Cook can waive the five-day wait. Clowney can negotiate a deal without an agent.

(Photo courtesy Atlanta Falcons.)

Meanwhile, the Titans cut D’Andre Walker in a surprise reported by @JustinM_NFL.

That’s made partly possible by the fact that Vic Beasley will come off the Non-Football Injury list and be part of the 53-man roster, the first official version of which we will learn by 3 p.m. CT.