Regression fears after close-game boom for Titans in 2020

Regression Stock PhotoNASHVILLE, Tenn. -- Camp is coming and there are a number of reasons to be optimistic about where the Titans are heading in 2021 as they look to build on an 11-5 season that produced an AFC South title.

But one key area analytics often looks at from one season to the next is one-score games.

If a team does especially well or especially poorly in that area, the thinking is the following season gravity will pull on the big number.

The Titans were 7-2 in games decided by 7 points or fewer in 2020, so Warren Sharp sees the potential for them to fall victim to regression.

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Paul Kuharsky has covered the Tennessee Titans since 1996, first for The Tennessean, then ESPN.com and now independently at paulkuharsky.com. He is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee and one of the longest-tenured Titans beat reporters in the franchise's history.